In this article, you will learn an important technical term: sports betting estimates! First of all, we will explain what sports betting estimates actually are. For anyone who is serious about sports betting and wants to bet successfully in the long term, the creation of so-called sports betting estimates is a very interesting option. This is nothing other than the assignment of value levels for information that is available before a betting event and forms the basis of a betting analysis for 22Bet Brasil.

Up to now, you have most likely used information about a betting event when placing a bet and classified a bet as more or less worthwhile on the basis of this information. For example, it plays a role whether a team has the home advantage or whether the most important player is currently injured. If a team has won the last 5 games, the probability that it will also win the 6th game is estimated to be higher than if the team has just had a losing streak.

Estimations say nothing more than the percentage of relevant information that influences the outcome of a bet. For example, a home advantage should be rated higher than the strength of the substitutes a team has on the bench.

A simplified, exemplary list of estimations could therefore look like this:

25% strength of the players on the bench (based on transfer values, player ratings…)

20% Current form (last 5-10 games)

15% home advantage

10% Fitness level of key players and injuries

10% Direct comparison and playing systems

10% Environment, sideshows and rumors

10% Substitute players or strength of the bench

Estimations are determined once and then serve as a basis for evaluating betting events. This makes it possible to first weigh up the significance of individual pieces of information and then create a precise probability calculation for a specific betting outcome. This then only needs to be converted into betting odds and the resulting odds compared with the odds offered on the market.

The individual estimations can be made dependent on long-term statistics of individual properties (home advantage = frequency of home wins vs. away wins in the last 5 years, actual wins of teams whose current form was good before a match) or other statistical data. In the beginning, the estimations are a kind of adjusting screw that must be tweaked until a lasting betting success is achieved. Once the estimates have been set correctly, a value odds can be calculated for each betting outcome, which can be compared with the odds on the market and makes long-term betting success more likely.

In conclusion, however, it must be said that even a successful percentage distribution of the relevant arguments is not the same for every game. For example, games in which only one club needs the points at the end of the season are excluded. The motivation to win can be an almost sole argument for a bet if the other team has nothing at stake.